Michigan’s top economic planners have built the state’s growth strategy around one demographic reality: without immigrants, the population numbers don’t work.

That’s not a political position. It’s the conclusion embedded in multiple state planning documents, reviewed this spring by the Michigan League for Public Policy, a nonpartisan research and advocacy organization. The League looked at several state strategies and reports and found immigrants described, repeatedly, as crucial drivers of growth, innovation, and economic revival across sectors from health care to auto manufacturing.

The workforce data behind that finding is hard to argue with. Immigrants make up 28% of Michigan’s physicians, 30% of its software developers, and 14% of auto manufacturing workers, according to state planning documents. Michigan already needs 862 more primary care physicians by 2030 just to hold its doctor-to-resident ratio at current levels, which already sit below the national average. The state is counting on the auto sector to compete globally through an electric vehicle transition. Those two goals share a common thread.

Population math that doesn’t lie

Michigan has ranked second-to-last in the country for population growth for most of the last 30 years. Congressional seats have dropped from 19 to 13 since 1970, which means less federal representation and less federal money coming back to the state. The baby boomer generation is aging out, and state demographers project that deaths will outpace births through 2050, putting pressure on both the state budget and the labor market.

The Growing Michigan Together council, a bipartisan group of economic stakeholders, called population decline a “significant threat” to the state’s prosperity. International immigration, their report said, is a demographic “bright spot.”

It’s not hard to see why. Over the last decade, immigrants provided nearly 60% of Michigan’s total population growth. In 2024, they accounted for every percentage point of it.

Michigan has set a goal of cracking the top 10 states for population growth by 2050. The planners who wrote that goal acknowledge it requires attracting significantly more newcomers. The state isn’t going to get there through natural population increase alone.

Governors on both sides saw this coming

This isn’t a new reading of the data. Former Republican Gov. Rick Snyder said in 2011, “Immigration made us a great state and country. We need to embrace the concept again as a way to speed our reinvention.” Governors of both parties since the early 2000s have recognized immigration’s role in keeping Michigan economically competitive.

What’s changed is how specific the numbers have gotten. The Michigan Statewide Workforce Plan identified health care, construction, technology, and advanced manufacturing as the sectors most critical to the state’s job growth over the next decade. Immigrants are significant contributors in every one of those sectors, according to reporting by Michigan Advance.

What this means neighborhood by neighborhood

In Detroit, the stakes aren’t abstract. The city’s health care system depends on physician pipelines that run directly through immigrant communities. Construction labor feeding development across Midtown, Corktown, and the east riverfront pulls from those same populations. A policy environment that makes it harder for immigrants to come to Michigan, or to stay, doesn’t just affect those individuals. It affects whether a Detroiter can get a primary care appointment, whether a construction project stays on schedule, and whether the auto plants in Warren and Hamtramck can hold their workforce as the industry restructures around electric vehicles.

The Michigan League for Public Policy’s review didn’t come with a specific legislative recommendation attached. But it didn’t need one. The state’s own documents, across multiple administrations and planning cycles, tell the story consistently. Immigrants aren’t a variable the state can afford to cut out of its economic projections.

Construction, health care, tech, and manufacturing are the four sectors Michigan’s workforce planners have flagged as most critical through 2035. Immigrants are doing substantial work in all four right now, and the Michigan Statewide Workforce Plan projects those workforce needs will grow. The state needs 862 more primary care doctors in four years. It’s not close to producing that number domestically. The doctor has to come from somewhere, and in Michigan, 28% of them already come from abroad.

Whether state and federal policy keeps that pipeline open is a question the data alone can’t answer, but the data makes the cost of closing it clear.